Copper Market in Turmoil as Trump Touts 50% Tariff on US Imports

Copper Market in Turmoil as Trump Touts 50% Tariff on US Imports

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Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, breaks down the impact of President Trump's 50% copper tariffs.
President Donald Trump sowed fresh chaos in metals markets by indicating the US would implement a higher-than-expected 50% tariff on copper imports, spurring a record spike in New York futures and a drop in the global benchmark.
The plan, announced in an apparently off-the-cuff comment to reporters, marks the latest twist in a tumultuous period for industrial commodities, as the US leader aims to encourage more mining and smelting at home. He’s already raised fees on steel and aluminum imports, while probes into flows of multiple other metals are in train.
Since February, when Trump first laid out plans for the levies, global traders have sent record volumes of the metal to the US, targeting huge profits on cargoes that can be delivered before the tariffs land. 
A 50% tariff — which could be in place within weeks — signals an imminent end to that trade but injects new uncertainties, including on timing and potential carve-outs for some large producers. In the short-term, one crucial question for traders is whether or not copper that’s already on its way to the US will be hit with tariffs when it arrives.
Citigroup Inc. called it a watershed moment for copper, closing the window for significant shipments into the US market.
“The degree of impact will heavily depend on the details,” said Marcus Garvey, Macquarie Group’s head of commodities strategy. “Not only the rate of any tariff but which forms of copper it is applied to, and whether or not there is any grace period ahead of its implementation.”
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