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We Haven't Hit the ATH In This Cycle | Plan B
Bitcoin has been trading sideways for the past week, after a dramatic fall to below $43,000... then climbing its way back above $50,000. Bitcoin investors and enthusiasts are looking for answers after many were anticipating an end-of-year run up which hasn’t quite transpired yet. Bitcoin skeptics are pointing out its volatility and calling for a lower dip, most notably Peter Schiff calling Bitcoin to drop to zero. While a fall to zero might be a bit extreme, Bitcoin analyst Plan B expressed an optimistic outlook at the cycle, stating that he didn’t believe $69k the high of this cycle. In a tweet, Plan B tweeted out
“I don't think $69K was the top for this halving cycle. If $69K were the top, than a typical bear market -80% drawdown would bring the bottom to $14K .. below 2017 ATH ($20K) and below 200WMA ($18K). Nah, that has never happened and IMO will never happen.”
Plan B, based on his floor model and S2F model, forecasted a Bitcoin spike of 42% in November, and above 95% in December, as compared to the November all-time high.
Needless to say, he faced various critics regarding his prediction when the market hit $42,000 in December 2021. Nothing added more disarray to his December prediction as the market continued to be bearish for Bitcoin investors even now.
Plan B, on the contrary, does not agree to the speculation of the bears having taken complete control. He argued that a stereotypical bearish market reflects an 80% correction which would mean bitcoin hitting $14,000. Such a phenomenon isn’t plausible considering the 200 weekly moving average, and 2017 all time high of Bitcoin being at $20,000.
Looking at Plan B’s latest verdict on Bitcoin, In 2018, Bitcoin faced a typical bear market where the prices surged below almost 80%; however, the circumstances then were completely different.
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